GRADED STAKES RECAP: HILLSBOROUGH STAKES (2010.03.13)
We are reviewing the morning line makers' performance following each graded stakes race.
Tampa Bay Downs presented a six-horse stakes race, the Grade 3 Hillsborough Stakes, on Saturday. The six runners competed in the $150,000 guaranteed purse which was for four year olds and upward travelling one mile and one eighth on the turf course. Considering that there were six scratches in this race, the morning line was amazingly good. The line correctly picked the post time rank for every horse save the top two which were inverted.
HORSE NAME1 MLO PRO-RATED2 PTO MLO RANK3 MLO RANK4 AINAMAA 12-1 4.55-1 4.50-1 MLO-T3 PTO-4 COULEE 15-1 5.71-1 8.50-1 MLO-5 PTO-5 CURE FOR SALE 6-1 1.94-1 2.30-1 MLO-1 PTO-2 IN MY GLORY 20-1 7.81-1 19.70-1 MLO-6 PTO-6 LIBERALLY 12-1 4.45-1 3.10-1 MLO-T3 PTO-3 PHOLA 8-1 2.77-1 1.90-1 MLO-2 PTO-1
1. In our stakes race recaps, the horses will be listed in alphabetical order. The stakes winner's name will be underlined in this column.
2. Pro-rated morning line odds are the mathematically adjusted morning line adjusted to reflect scratched runners. The pro-rated morning line odds will total to 100% plus the pari-mutuel takeout percentage and one percentage point for each runner (the de facto industry standard). In the case either no scratches or no odds total imbalances, this column will be the MLO in decimal form. My source for each track's takeout percentage is Horseplayers Association of North America.
3. In the case of ties among rank of morning line odds, the rank notation will be MLO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
4. In the case of ties among rank of post time odds, the rank notation will be PTO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
(2010.10.20 -- sps)