GRADED STAKES RECAP: TAMPA BAY DERBY (2010.03.13)
We are reviewing the morning line makers' performance following each graded stakes race.
Tampa Bay Downs presented a seven-horse stakes race, the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby, on Saturday. The seven runners competed in the $300,000 guaranteed purse which was for three year olds travelling one mile and a sixteenth on the dirt course. The morning linemaker successful seperated in order the first and bottom three post time odds. The three misassigned horses were assessed as potentially going to post a similar odds. 5-to-2, 3-to-1, and 7-to-2 odds tightly clustered the second, third and fourth favorites. Thus, it is acceptable that these three are clustered in the post time odds in the wrong order.
HORSE NAME1 MLO PRO-RATED2 PTO MLO RANK3 MLO RANK4 GLEAM OF HOPE 15-1 15.43-1 42.10-1 MLO-6 PTO-6 ODYSSEUS 7-2 3.62-1 2.00-1 MLO-4 PTO-2 SCHOOLYARD DREAMS 3-1 3.11-1 5.40-1 MLO-3 PTO-4 SLAMMY BOY 20-1 20.56-1 112.30-1 MLO-7 PTO-7 SUPER SAVER 2-1 2.08-1 1.50-1 MLO-1 PTO-1 TUVIA'S FORCE 12-1 12.35-1 21.90-1 MLO-5 PTO-5 UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN 5-2 2.59-1 2.90-1 MLO-2 PTO-3
1. In our stakes race recaps, the horses will be listed in alphabetical order. The stakes winner's name will be underlined in this column.
2. Pro-rated morning line odds are the mathematically adjusted morning line adjusted to reflect scratched runners. The pro-rated morning line odds will total to 100% plus the pari-mutuel takeout percentage and one percentage point for each runner (the de facto industry standard). In the case either no scratches or no odds total imbalances, this column will be the MLO in decimal form. My source for each track's takeout percentage is Horseplayers Association of North America.
3. In the case of ties among rank of morning line odds, the rank notation will be MLO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
4. In the case of ties among rank of post time odds, the rank notation will be PTO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
(2010.10.20 -- sps)