GRADED STAKES RECAP: RAZORBACK HANDICAP (2010.03.06)
We are reviewing the morning line makers' performance following each graded stakes race.
Oaklawn Park presented a ten-horse stakes race, the Grade 3 Razorback Handicap, on Saturday. The eight runners competed in the $150,000 guaranteed purse which was for four year olds and upward travelling one and one sixteenth miles on the dirt course. The morning line maker correctly predicted the first and second post time favorite; however, the most notable comment about this line is the severe over-estimation of the action taken on ACTING ZIPPY and MAD FLATTER.
HORSE NAME1 MLO PRO-RATED2 PTO MLO RANK3 MLO RANK4 ACTING ZIPPY 4-1 4.36-1 15.00-1 MLO-3 PTO-6 GONE ASTRAY 5-2 2.75-1 1.60-1 MLO-1 PTO-1 JONESBORO 5-1 5.43-1 5.70-1 MLO-T4 PTO-4 MAD FLATTER 8-1 8.65-1 31.10-1 MLO-T6 PTO-8 PROM SHOES 8-1 8.65-1 7.60-1 MLO-T6 PTO-5 RACING BRAN 5-1 5.43-1 4.60-1 MLO-T4 PTO-3 SPOTSGONE 12-1 12.94-1 29.50-1 MLO-8 PTO-7 WIN WILLY 7-2 3.83-1 2.70-1 MLO-2 PTO-2
1. In our stakes race recaps, the horses will be listed in alphabetical order. The stakes winner's name will be underlined in this column.
2. Pro-rated morning line odds are the mathematically adjusted morning line adjusted to reflect scratched runners. The pro-rated morning line odds will total to 100% plus the pari-mutuel takeout percentage and one percentage point for each runner (the de facto industry standard). In the case either no scratches or no odds total imbalances, this column will be the MLO in decimal form. My source for each track's takeout percentage is Horseplayers Association of North America.
3. In the case of ties among rank of morning line odds, the rank notation will be MLO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
4. In the case of ties among rank of post time odds, the rank notation will be PTO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
(2010.10.20 -- sps)