GRADED STAKES RECAP: GOTHAM STAKES (2010.03.06)
We are reviewing the morning line makers' performance following each graded stakes race.
Aqueduct presented a ten-horse stakes race, the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes, on Saturday. The ten runners competed in the $250,000 guaranteed purse which was for three year olds travelling one and one sixteenth miles on the dirt course. The morning line maker, Eric Donovan, did a good job in representing the final wagering well with the morning line. The third, fourth, eighth, ninth, and tenth positions were correctly predicted. The groupings for first and second and then fifth through seventh appropriately clustered.
HORSE NAME1 MLO PRO-RATED2 PTO MLO RANK3 MLO RANK4 AFLEET AGAIN 20-1 18.68-1 25.00-1 MLO-10 PTO-10 AWESOME ACT 7-2 3.22-1 2.85-1 MLO-1 PTO-2 I'VE GOT THE FEVER 12-1 11.19-1 15.60-1 MLO-T8 PTO-8 NACHO FRIEND 8-1 7.44-1 8.20-1 MLO-T5 PTO-6 PEPPI KNOWS 10-1 9.31-1 7.30-1 MLO-7 PTO-5 SHRIMP DANCER 12-1 11.19-1 24.00-1 MLO-T8 PTO-9 THREE DAY RUSH 4-1 3.69-1 1.70-1 MLO-2 PTO-1 TURF MELODY 8-1 7.44-1 11.20-1 MLO-T5 PTO-7 WOW WOW WOW 6-1 5.56-1 4.00-1 MLO-4 PTO-4 YAWANNA TWIST 5-1 4.62-1 3.85-1 MLO-3 PTO-3
1. In our stakes race recaps, the horses will be listed in alphabetical order. The stakes winner's name will be underlined in this column.
2. Pro-rated morning line odds are the mathematically adjusted morning line adjusted to reflect scratched runners. The pro-rated morning line odds will total to 100% plus the pari-mutuel takeout percentage and one percentage point for each runner (the de facto industry standard). In the case either no scratches or no odds total imbalances, this column will be the MLO in decimal form. My source for each track's takeout percentage is Horseplayers Association of North America.
3. In the case of ties among rank of morning line odds, the rank notation will be MLO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
4. In the case of ties among rank of post time odds, the rank notation will be PTO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
(2010.10.20 -- sps)