GRADED STAKES RECAP: TOBOGGAN STAKES (2010.03.06)
We are reviewing the morning line makers' performance following each graded stakes race.
Aqueduct presented a five-horse stakes race, the Grade 3 Toboggan Stakes, on Saturday. The five runners competed in the $100,000 guaranteed purse which was for three year olds and upwards travelling six furlongs on the dirt course. The morning line maker did a good job in representing the final wagering well with the morning line. With the exception of reversing the first two favorites, the linemaker successfully order the post time odds.
HORSE NAME1 MLO PRO-RATED2 PTO MLO RANK3 MLO RANK4 CRIMSON COMIC 15-1 14.62-1 50.00-1 MLO-5 PTO-5 CUSTOM FOR CARLOS 9-5 1.73-1 2.00-1 MLO-1 PTO-2 DRIVEN BY SUCCESS 6-1 5.84-1 6.50-1 MLO-4 PTO-4 ELUSIVE WARNING 5-2 2.42-1 2.55-1 MLO-3 PTO-3 WALL STREET WONDER 2-1 1.93-1 1.34-1 MLO-2 PTO-1
1. In our stakes race recaps, the horses will be listed in alphabetical order. The stakes winner's name will be underlined in this column.
2. Pro-rated morning line odds are the mathematically adjusted morning line adjusted to reflect scratched runners. The pro-rated morning line odds will total to 100% plus the pari-mutuel takeout percentage and one percentage point for each runner (the de facto industry standard). In the case either no scratches or no odds total imbalances, this column will be the MLO in decimal form. My source for each track's takeout percentage is Horseplayers Association of North America.
3. In the case of ties among rank of morning line odds, the rank notation will be MLO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
4. In the case of ties among rank of post time odds, the rank notation will be PTO-T# where # will represent the ranked position.
(2010.10.20 -- sps)